Current:Home > InvestThe job market slowed last month, but it's still too hot to ease inflation fears -Capitatum
The job market slowed last month, but it's still too hot to ease inflation fears
Surpassing Quant Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-06 18:08:18
Hiring cooled last month from its sizzling pace in January, but the U.S. job market remains unusually hot, with an unemployment rate hovering near a half-century low.
Employers added 311,000 jobs in February, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday that will be closely studied by the Federal Reserve.
The unemployment rate inched up to 3.6% from 3.4% in January, as more than 400,000 people joined the workforce.
The Fed was alarmed by an earlier report showing more than half a million jobs were added in January. The central bank worries that an overheated job market could put more upward pressure on inflation.
The report shows January's job gains were only slightly weaker than initially reported, with 504,000 jobs added that month, according to the revised figures also out on Friday.
Restaurants and hotels are among the businesses hiring
Job gains in February were widespread, with in-person service industries showing robust hiring.
"Leisure and hospitality is leading that charge," said Nela Richardson, chief economist for the payroll processing company ADP.
The steady demand for workers shows the underlying strength "in a sector that is defined by people going out and spending on things like vacations, and hotel stays and restaurants," Richardson said.
Construction companies added 24,000 jobs, even as rising mortgage rates continue to weigh on the housing market. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate home loan climbed to 6.73% this week from 3.85% a year ago, according to mortgage giant Fannie Mae.
Headline-grabbing layoffs in the tech sector put little dent in the overall employment numbers, although the information sector did show a loss of 25,000 jobs last month. Factories shed 4,000 jobs in February and the transportation and warehousing industry cut 22,000 jobs.
The Fed is likely to stay skittish
Fed Chair Jerome Powell told lawmakers this week that a very strong job market, along with robust consumer spending and stubbornly high inflation, could prompt the central bank to raise interest rates higher – and more rapidly – than had been expected late last year.
"The process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy," Powell told the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday. "If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes."
In addition to the jobs report, the Fed will be guided by a report on February inflation that's due out next Tuesday. The central bank's rate-setting committee meets the following week.
Historically, when the Fed tries to curb inflation by raising interest rates, it results in higher unemployment, but past experience may not be so helpful in the current environment.
"We're in kind of a brave new world when it comes to inflation and the job market," Richardson said. "Nothing about the pandemic recovery or the economy since that time of the pandemic really reflects historical trends."
The Fed is also keeping a close eye on rising wages, which can contribute to higher prices, especially in labor-intensive service industries. On average, wages in February were 4.6% higher than a year ago.
"Strong wage growth is good for workers, but only if it's not eroded by inflation," Powell told a House committee this week.
veryGood! (57432)
Related
- US wholesale inflation accelerated in November in sign that some price pressures remain elevated
- Ward leads Washington State to 56-14 romp over Colorado; Sanders exits with injury
- How do you make peace with your shortcomings? This man has an answer
- Charissa Thompson missed the mark, chose wrong time to clean up her spectacular mess
- Megan Fox's ex Brian Austin Green tells Machine Gun Kelly to 'grow up'
- 'What is this woman smoking?': How F1 turned a pipe dream into the Las Vegas Grand Prix
- Estonia’s Kallas is reelected to lead party despite a scandal over husband’s Russia business ties
- Syracuse coach Dino Babers fired after 8 years with school, just 2 winning seasons
- IRS recovers $4.7 billion in back taxes and braces for cuts with Trump and GOP in power
- Memphis police search for suspect after 4 female victims killed and 1 wounded in 3 linked shootings
Ranking
- Appeals court scraps Nasdaq boardroom diversity rules in latest DEI setback
- Democratic-led cities pay for migrants’ tickets to other places as resources dwindle
- UK Treasury chief signals tax cuts and a squeeze on welfare benefits are on the way
- 'Hunger Games' burning questions: What happened in the end? Why was 'Ballad' salute cut?
- Former Danish minister for Greenland discusses Trump's push to acquire island
- K-12 schools improve protection against online attacks, but many are vulnerable to ransomware gangs
- From soccer infamy to Xbox 'therapy,' what's real and what's not in 'Next Goal Wins'
- How Snow Takes Center Stage in The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes
Recommendation
Newly elected West Virginia lawmaker arrested and accused of making terroristic threats
Argentines vote in an election that could lead a Trump-admiring populist to the presidency
Ukraine’s troops work to advance on Russian-held side of key river after gaining footholds
Moldova’s first dog nips Austrian president on the hand during official visit
Paris Hilton, Nicole Richie return for an 'Encore,' reminisce about 'The Simple Life'
Residents of Iceland town evacuated over volcano told it will be months before they can go home
Deion Sanders saddened after latest Colorado loss: 'Toughest stretch of probably my life'
Brazil surprise songs: See the tunes Taylor Swift played in Rio de Janeiro